Forecast the Direction of the US in the POTUS Predictions Tournament
The POTUS Predictions Tournament, featuring a $15,000 prize pool, is now live. The tournament will assess political outcomes under the Trump administration, addressing hopes, fears, and uncertainties on issues like tariffs, democracy, and economic impacts. Participants will compete in two parts, forecasting short-term outcomes by the midterms and longer-term events extending to the next presidential election. Make your predictions in the POTUS Predictions Tournament on questions like: How many journalists in the US will face criminal charges related to their work before 2027? Will the United States recognize Taiwan before...
Will a federal judge be impeached by Republican Representatives in a partisan vote before January 3, 2027?
What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?
Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?
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Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?
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On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan?
Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?
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